9.4% doubt NPP promises - Ephson's poll reveals
Ben Ephson explained that President John Mahama will secure a first round victory in the 2016 elections with 52.4 percent.
According to him, "opinion polls for July 2016 gave President Mahama 42% and Nana Akufo-Addo – 39%. The method we used for all the previous four opinion polls over the past 16 years was applied for this year’s work. In the preceding year before the elections, we did a general survey of 70 of the 275 constituencies which cannot be considered as the stronghold of any political party."
Related: Mahama will win one touch - Ephson
He explained that President John Mahama will secure a first round victory in the 2016 elections with 52.4 percent.
"The last two polls between October 16 and November 16, 2016 that virtually won the first round victory for the NDC and President John Mahama is that 9.4% began to doubt the promises of the New Patriotic Party," he said.
Read more:I need 60% to win one touch - Mahama
In his analysis, he explained that "Many of the respondents, about 67% believed that the NPP would be able to fulfil the ‘one district one factory’ promise. The additional promises of ‘one village, one dam and US$1 million for all the 275 constituencies every year appears to have knocked hard at the belief that the NPP would fulfil all the promises."
"In this election year, we dropped 30 and concentrated on 40 constituencies we considered swing in Greater Accra, Central, Western and Brong Ahafo regions. We had a total of 4,000 respondents over the 40 constituencies in the six polls.
An analysis of the six opinion polls reveals that between May and July, the NDC had an increase of 7% and the NPP, an increase of 6%. The NDC had an increase of 3% between August ending and September 16, the NPP having an increase of 2%," he added.
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